FanBoardHQ

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan University · 2022 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#75
Efficiency
-10.0
101st FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 12
Eastern Michigan Fanboard →

Eastern Michigan went 9-4 and was ranked 75th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 66th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 113th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with an 81st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 72nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
8-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
64th
-2.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
131st
full season
131st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
124th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Eastern KentuckyAtlantic SunW 4234+9.5100%-11.6Q4
2@ LouisianaSun Belt#88L 2149-8.80%-26.1Q3
3@ Arizona StatePac-12#106W 3021-8.2100%10.2Q3
4vs BuffaloMid-American#87L 3150+0.40%-30.9Q4
5vs MassachusettsFBS Independents#131W 2013+19.5100%-21.8Q4
6@ Western MichiganMid-American#110W 4523+3.9100%18.6Q4
7vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#122L 1039+11.60%-46.7Q4
8@ Ball StateMid-American#108W 2016+1.4100%-8.9Q4
9vs ToledoMid-American#69L 2427-3.30%-11.8Q4
11@ AkronMid-American#127W 3428+5.9100%-5.2Q4
12@ Kent StateMid-American#94W 3124-3.8100%-0.6Q4
13vs Central MichiganMid-American#115W 3819+8.3100%-0.6Q4
Postseason
vs San José StateMountain West#78W 4127-3.5100%5.9Q4

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Eastern Michigan, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-41.5-14.1+13.3-12-2610-31-2219-47-9-12-5-1-1Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 72nd
SR 54thYPP 85thEPA 76th
RushingEff 81st
SR 59thYPP 127thEPA 68th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 101st
SR 91stYPP 102ndEPA 110th
Rush defenseEff 118th
SR 123rdYPP 117thEPA 117th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo +4.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 84th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 47%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 90.0Q1 · Allowed: 63.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 114.0Q2 · Allowed: 101.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 103.0Q3 · Allowed: 92.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 64.0Q4 · Allowed: 124.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledEastern MichiganOffenseDefense
Eastern Michigan Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 66th
-0.7
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -0.5
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -0.5= -0.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 67th · Finishing 64th

Defensive EffRanked 113th
-8.4
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -7.6
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -7.6= -8.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 94th · Finishing 119th

2.38 points per drive on offense, 2.46 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(246)47% / 53%52%6.0
Q2(241)54% / 46%49%5.9
Q3(194)45% / 55%42%6.0
Q4(209)38% / 62%44%4.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(157)10.252%7.8
2nd(138)8.646%6.8
3rd(105)8.034%5.5
4th(13)7.123%-0.8
All (413)45%6.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(233)9.546%5.0
2nd(162)6.844%4.3
3rd(71)4.765%6.2
4th(11)1.482%2.8
All (477)49%4.9

Eastern Michigan, all games.